Gold

Gold prices rallied above $3,100 per ounce for the first time on Monday, on course for its biggest quarterly gain in over 38 years, as global tariffs and geopolitical tensions push investors toward safe-haven bets.

“Trump’s unpredictable trade policy has been the key driver for gold so far in 2025, with prices up by more than 16% year-to-date, extending its momentum from 2024,” ING analysts said.

“We see uncertainty over trade and tariffs, along with central bank buying and inflows into ETF holdings continuing to buoy gold prices.”

Source – Seeking Alpha

Australia has not escaped the threat of increased tariffs on its exports to the U.S., but it does have one world-class industry which is reveling in commodity market confusion, gold.

Both Citi and RBC Capital Markets see the gold price continuing to rise while the Resources Department of the Australian Government is forecasting an increase in national output from 286 tons this year to 309 tons next year, cementing Australia’s position as the world’s third biggest gold producer after Russia and China.

Gold’s rise in U.S. dollars is magnified in Australia by the currency effect with an exchange current rate of US63 cents delivering an Australian gold price of A$4903/oz, a record which easily eclipses all earlier gold booms.

Source – Forbes

Analysts led by Lina Thomas moved their gold forecast for the end of 2025 to $3,300 an ounce, from $3,100.

Gold futures rose 1.3% to $3,060.70 an ounce, buoyed by uncertainty over new auto tariffs announced by the White House on Wednesday. 

On Tuesday, Bank of America lifted its gold-price forecast to $3,500 from $3,000. As with Goldman, their analysts cited central bank and ETF demand, but also pointed out that China’s insurance industry is getting a regulatory push to buy more.

Source – Market Watch

Trump announced 25% tariffs on all vehicles and foreign-made auto parts imported into the United States late on Wednesday, prompting heavy losses in Japanese and South Korean stocks in Asian trading overnight.

General Motors slumped 6%, while shares in Ford fell almost 5%, reflecting concerns about the impact on their supply chains.

“Uncertainty on the tariff front remains high, which is really tough for both businesses but also investors to plan into the future, and of course it’s making it really difficult for investors to price risk,” said Baylee Wakefield, a multi-asset portfolio manager at Aviva Investors.

Gold prices rose, up 0.7% on the day at $3,040 an ounce. Goldman Sachs raised its gold price forecast on Wednesday, citing stronger-than-expected ETF inflows and sustained central bank demand.

Source – Reuters

Gold prices rose on Tuesday, supported by safe-haven demand amid uncertainty over U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff plans for next week that could potentially boost inflation.

Spot gold was up 0.3% at $3,021.39 an ounce at 11:24 a.m. ET (1524 GMT). U.S. gold futures were up 0.4% at $3,026.20.

“Investors are concerned about the state of the world, especially with U.S. policies being what they are, and so they’re buying gold as an alternative asset because they’re concerned that the U.S. government may throw the world into a global recession,” said Jeffrey Christian, managing partner of CPM Group.

Spot silver gained 1.8% to $33.59 an ounce, platinum added 0.8% to $980.80 and palladium added 1.1% to $961.60.

Source – Reuters

Australia’s Gold Road Resources rejected a $2.1 billion takeover proposal from Gold Fields, calling the offer opportunistic following a drop in quarterly production.

The all-cash proposal was made earlier this month against a backdrop of surging gold prices, which recently surpassed $3,000 a troy ounce for the first time as economic uncertainty fuels demand for the metal as a perceived safe haven.

“Gold Fields will continue to seek the engagement of the Gold Road board to consider the merits of the proposed acquisition and to advance the proposal,” said Mike Fraser, chief executive of Gold Fields.

Source – Wall Street Journal