Goldman Sachs raised its end-2025 gold price forecast to $3,700 per ounce from $3,300, with a projected range of $3,650-$3,950, citing stronger-than-expected demand from central banks and higher exchange-traded fund inflows due to recession risks.
“If a recession occurs, ETF inflows could accelerate further and lift gold prices to $3,880 per troy ounce (toz) by year-end,” the bank said
Source – Reuters
The precious metal remains supported as concerns about an intensifying global trade war continue to place downward pressure on the dollar and Treasurys amid diminishing faith in the U.S. as a reliable trading partner.
Gold’s price, which soared 6% last week and trades 23% higher since the start of the year, seesawed Sunday evening as investors digested news that recently announced U.S. tariff exemptions on smartphones, computers, and semiconductors could be temporary, with the president later pledging a national security trade investigation into the chip sector.
Source – Investopedia
The inventory of unstruck ready-to-strike cent planchets combined at the Denver and Philadelphia Mints is considered by the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Mint enough to handle production needs for the near future as the mintages wind down, with no more planchets ordered from the lone outside vendor.
The unstruck planchets are also sufficient for striking Uncirculated Lincolns cents at the Philadelphia and Denver Mints for inclusion in 2025 Uncirculated Mint sets and for Proof sets executed at the San Francisco Mint.
Source – Coin World
In a landmark victory for coin dealers, collectors, and investors, the Kentucky General Assembly has overridden Governor Andy Beshear’s veto of House Bill 2, officially enacting a sales-tax exemption for currency, bullion, and coins.
Introduced Jan. 10, 2025, HB 2 passed the House with a 76–17 vote and the Senate with a 30–6 vote earlier this year. The veto override, finalized on March 27 with an 80-19 vote in the House and an 31-6 vote in the Senate, marks the successful conclusion of a year-long effort to protect Kentucky taxpayers.
Source – Coin World
“During the last three days, gold is up over 8% and on pace for its largest three-day move since March 2020,” Bespoke Investment Group said in a note Friday morning. “Before that, you would have to go back to the financial crisis to find the last time it rallied as much in three days.”
“Gold may be catching a bid, but the dollar has floundered,” said Bespoke. “If you were looking for bonds to provide some ballast in your portfolio this week, you didn’t get it with Treasuries.”
Source – Market Watch
Gold prices in India skyrocketed by Rs 6,250 on Friday to reach a historic high of Rs 96,450 per 10 grams in the national capital, fuelled by robust demand from local jewellers and soaring global prices driven by heightened US-China trade tensions, according to the All India Sarafa Association.
Gold of 99.9% purity also saw a significant jump, closing at Rs 96,450 compared to Wednesday’s Rs 90,200.
Silver too followed suit, leaping Rs 2,300 to settle at Rs 95,500 per kg from its earlier close of Rs 93,200, mirroring the bullish global momentum.
Comex gold futures climbed to a record USD 3,249.16 per ounce, signalling strong safe-haven demand.
“Comex gold prices hit lifetime highs due to surging safe-haven demand, triggered by fears of a deepening global economic slowdown and further retaliation between the US and China,” said Kaynat Chainwala, AVP-Commodity Research at Kotak Securities.
Source – The Times of India
Spot gold jumped over 1% to $3,214.92 an ounce, as of 0801 GMT, after hitting a record high of $3,219.84 earlier in the session. Bullion is up over 5% so far this week.
“Recession risks are mounting, bond yields are soaring, and the U.S. dollar continues to weaken – all factors reinforcing gold’s role as a crisis hedge and inflation shield,” said Alexander Zumpfe, a precious metals trader at Heraeus Metals Germany.
“We believe gold has further to run—in the upside case, we target USD 3,400-3,500/oz over the months ahead,” said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.
Spot silver gained 0.4% to $31.31 an ounce, while platinum added 0.7% to $944.35. Palladium gained 1.9% to $925.43.
Source – Reuters
UBS and Commerzbank raised their gold price forecasts on Friday, joining other investment banks as investors drive the safe-haven metal to record highs amid the economic uncertainty sparked by U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade policies.
Trump’s tariffs have roiled financial markets, stoking fears of inflation and a global recession. While he has paused most duties, he has hiked those on China to 145%, prompting Beijing to lift its tariffs on U.S. goods to 125%.
“We expect gold’s rally to extend into next year and for prices to stabilise at higher levels further out,” UBS analysts said in a note
Source – Reuters
Oil flows from the United States to China in the early months of this year have reportedly added up to roughly 1% of the country’s imports, amid growing tariffs and trade risks.
“With China imposing 84% tariffs on goods from the US, the cost of US crude would be almost double — $51 a barrel more expensive, based on $61 WTI,” Ivan Mathews, head of APAC analysis for Vortexa told Bloomberg. “This makes running US crude uneconomical for Chinese refiners.”
US crude imports to China will “likely dwindle to zero in the coming months if the current tariff levels stay,” he added.
Source – Seeking Alpha
Chile’s place at the low-end of U.S. tariffs announced last week could be favorable for the world’s leading copper-producing country if U.S. President Donald Trump decides to slap tariffs on copper, Chile Mining Minister Aurora Williams said on Wednesday.
Chile is in “wait-and-see” mode until the investigation concludes, Williams told Reuters, but sees potential for a positive outcome even if the U.S. imposes tariffs on copper.
“If we assume that Chile is within the lowest tariff range, the application of a potential 10% tariff is lower than the tariffs we have seen for other copper-producing countries and therefore also generates a better price position,” Williams said
Source – Reuters