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Copper giant Peru foresees another production plateau in 2025

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Peruvian copper production is expected to remain flat in 2025 for the third straight year, according to the country’s top mining association and industry analysts, as declining ore grades and a lack of new projects cap output.

Peru’s top mining association SNMPE expects the country’s 2025 copper output to hit around 2.8 million metric tons, matching 2023 and what is expected for 2024, as miners contend with poorer-quality resources and development bottlenecks for new projects.

“By 2025, Peruvian copper production is expected to be similar to this year’s expected 2.8 million tons,” said Victor Gobitz, SNMPE’s head, in an interview last week.

Source – Reuters

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Gold prices recovered during early trade

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“The precious metal pushed back above $2,600/oz, suggesting the market saw the selloff as overdone,” ANZ Research analysts said in a note to clients. “Nevertheless, the market will take some time to adjust to the pivot the Fed appears to have taken on rates.”

Source – BARRONS

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The Fed’s hawkish signal sparked gold jitters

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The U.S. Federal Reserve jolted markets with an unexpectedly hawkish set of projections for the path of interest rates next year, setting gold prices up for a blow — but analysts told CNBC they still see solid support for the precious metal in 2025.

The Fed’s “dot plot,” a gauge of policymakers’ outlook, now suggests the Fed will cut interest rates twice in 2025, compared with four quarter-point cuts previously expected in September, when concerns about the weakening labor market were front-of-mind. The big concern for the central bank is now whether the policies of incoming President-elect Donald Trump — particularly his threat of sweeping trade tariffs — will prove inflationary.

Source – CNBC

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Trumps last Presidency gold surges 53% – What’s next?

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When Donald Trump took office in January 2017, few could predict the meteoric rise in gold prices that would follow. By the time he left office in January 2021, gold had surged by over 53%, reaching a price of $1,841 per troy ounce—up from $1,208 at the start of his term, according to data from the World Gold Council.

Source – CNBC TV18

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Gold, silver prices plummet in US Fed cuts

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“Gold fell sharply post-Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting as the Fed’s indication of a slower pace of interest rate cuts than previously estimated for the next year,” Saumil Gandhi, Senior Analyst of Commodities at HDFC Securities, said.

Silver quoted 2.47 per cent lower at USD 29.98 per ounce in the international markets.

“Investors are anticipating US weekly unemployment claims data to be released later on Thursday to assess the strength of the labour market, while focusing on the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data on Friday,” Abans Holdings’ Chief Executive Officer Chintan Mehta said.”

“We expect gold prices to rise further, but any delay in additional interest rate cuts could lead to short-term declines, creating opportunities for accumulation, Mehta said.”

Source – Press Trust of India

Silver Price 2024 Year-End Review

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This year has been an up and down ride for silver after 2023 but seems to have taken a turn in the last quarter of the year.

News!

“Silver fell to a quarterly low of US$30.11 on November 27, but since then the precious metal has regained some ground. As of December 11, it was trading at US$31.88.

The next Fed meeting is set to run from December 17 to 18. Most analysts expect the central bank to make one last 25 basis point cut before pausing in 2025.”

Source – Investing News Network

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Gold bounces back after month long low

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Markets initially dropped after Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted at fewer rate cuts next year, but quickly recovered as investors recognized this aligned with recent expectations, said StoneX analyst Rhona O’Connell.

“Gold sold off, showcasing once more that it is not an inflation hedge per se, but regained some lost ground on a threatened U.S. government shutdown,” said Carsten Menke, analyst at Julius Baer.

Source – Reuters https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/gold-recovers-one-month-low-short-covering-2024-12-19/

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“Gold is reacting to a sharp rise in the U.S. dollar after a hawkish Fed cut,” said Michael Armbruster, co-founder and managing partner at Altavest. Source – Market Watch https://www.marketwatch.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-futures-rise-ahead-of-final-rate-decision-and-economic-forecast-of-the-year/card/gold-futures-decline-after-fed-announcement-WFThfHDv2mQxezfnO3an

“Despite the pullback we’ve seen in gold prices following yesterday’s Fed statement, we believe gold’s positive momentum will continue in the short to medium term,” Manthey said by email. Source – CNBC https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/the-fed-s-hawkish-signal-sparked-gold-jitters-but-analysts-see-support-for-the-precious-metal-in-2025/ar-AA1wajju?ocid=socialshare

Barrick gold seeks arbitration to settle disagreement with Mali

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Barrick is a sector leading gold and copper production. One of the biggest in the world and comes in at 2nd in gold mining.

“The miner this week threatened to suspend operations in Mali over deteriorating mine conditions. Jefferies analysts wrote in a note this week that closure of the mine would reduce Barrick’s earnings before interest, taxes, and amortization by 11% next year.”

“Mali, under interim President Assimi Goita, has increased pressure on western miners in a bid to raise its revenue share from gold mines. In the last two months, the junta has detained senior executives of western miners, including employees of these companies for alleged non-payment of mining taxes.” Source – https://www.msn.com/en-ca/money/economy/barrick-gold-seeks-arbitration-over-mali-gold-mine-dispute/ar-AA1w6s2W?ocid=socialshare

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United States ranks #5 in gold producers

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As many countries mine for their gold and help their economies in the process, the United States is not the number country in gold.

According to Luciano Duque, chief investment officer of C3 Bullion, China leads global gold output — followed by Australia, Russia and Canada before the U.S. rounds out the top five. -Source https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/where-does-the-us-rank-among-the-worlds-gold-producers/ar-AA1w1PiK?ocid=socialshare

There are many benefits to gold and as every day passes it’s growing in price and demand. Many investors will be looking out at the production and where it’s expanding.

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