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Copper climbs, tariff concerns continue

ByVictoria

Benchmark LME copper futures are more than 9% higher so far this year, and Comex copper is 16% higher YTD, with the Comex now trading at a 10%-12% premium over LME, and Morgan Stanley analysts see more room for growth.

“We stay constructive on copper, our preferred base metal,” Morgan Stanley wrote. “Fundamentals and price signals are positive, and inventories are tightening as metal gets pulled to the U.S. Tariffs may bring demand concerns in the future, but for now physical markets continue to tighten.”

Source – Seeking Alpha

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    Gold price up, Silver spot fell

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    Gold prices edged higher on Wednesday as a weaker dollar and simmering trade tension between the United States and China lifted demand for the safe-haven metal.

    Spot gold was up 0.1% at $3,355.46 an ounce, as of 0836 GMT. U.S. gold futures edged 0.1% higher to $3,379.80.

    “I think we are seeing the same concerns around trade talks, not much progress and that is adding to uncertainty over where tariffs will land, and that’s driving gold prices right now,” said Nitesh Shah, commodities strategist at WisdomTree.

    Donald Trump said on Wednesday that Chinese President Xi Jinping is tough and “extremely hard to make a deal with,” days after the U.S. President accused China of violating an agreement to roll back tariffs and trade restrictions.

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    Source – Reuters

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    “Liberation Day” tariffs!

    ByVictoria
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    Stocks recoiled on Wednesday, while safe-haven gold held near record highs as a nervous world awaited details of U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff plans and investors fretted about the risks of an intensifying global trade war.

    “Whatever’s announced today, I doubt very much will be the framework that’s in place in, say, nine months’ time because we know there’ll be negotiations around this,” Daiwa Capital economist Chris Scicluna said.

    “It’s very difficult to predict with any confidence what the ultimate impact is going to be, whether broadly, economically, in terms of rates or in terms of stock markets,” he said.

    “Investors are hoping for some clarity, and perhaps the start of the deal-making phase. But tariffs are already weighing on business sentiment, and this will probably feed through into lower global economic activity in the coming months,” said Ben Bennett, Asia-Pacific investment strategist at Legal & General Investment Management.

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    Citi’s gold expectations

    ByVictoria
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    Citi expects the price of gold to consolidate around $3,100 to $3,500 per ounce in the third quarter, as prices moderate due to geopolitical de-escalation in the Middle East and an improved global growth outlook, the bank said in a note on Monday.

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    Shares in the gold miner are currently swapping hands at $76.60 apiece, more than 2% higher from the open as investors process the numbers.

    2024 was a transformational year for Newmont, as we focused on the integration of the Newcrest portfolio, divestment of our non-core assets, and transitioning the business onto a stable operating and investment platform.

    We have deliberately streamlined Newmont into the world’s best collection of Tier 1 gold assets, with a strong foundation of operational and financial performance. Our record fourth quarter gave a glimpse into the promising potential of the business and allowed Newmont to deliver record operating cash flows.

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    Copper futures up, copper market awaits investigation

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    Copper, yet to be included in Donald Trump’s widening list of tariff-hit products, continues to rally on the assumption that it is just a matter of time, Saxo Bank said in a note, as it sees a sooner-than-expected tightening of the global market.

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    ByVictoria
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    “Gold bars are bought as a hedge” against tariff-related downside risks to stocks as well as U.S. and global economic growth, commodity analysts at Citigroup said in a research note on Friday after the U.S. stock market’s close. “In precious metals, we see gold moving higher very near term” to $3,000 per ounce, they wrote.

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