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Gold eyes milestone, bear case being planted

ByVictoria

“What we have seen is the change in the motive for safe-haven buying – from being driven by the Middle East uncertainty to the threat and realisation of tariffs,” said Philip Newman, managing director at consultancy Metals Focus.

“Strikingly, gold was rallying as inflation eased, and it looked as though all of our understanding of how gold prices behaved was being challenged,” said independent analyst Ross Norman.

Nicky Shiels, head of metals strategy at MKS PAMP SA, said that while prices could break out towards $3,200, resolution of physical gold dislocations attributed to tariffs and potential structural changes including reduced risk appetite, reduced participation and reduced liquidity are increasingly bearish.

Source – Reuters

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Bear (in finance) – is an investor who believes that a particular security or the broader market is headed downward and my attempt to profit from a decline in stock prices. Bears are typically pessimistic towards a state of any given market or underlying economy.

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    Kaiser Reef to acquire Henty gold mine

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    Australia-based Kaiser Reef has entered into a definitive agreement with Catalyst Metals to acquire the Henty gold mine and associated exploration tenements in north-western Tasmania in a deal valued at A$31.6m.

    Under the deal, Kaiser will make an upfront payment of A$15m and issue A$16.6m in shares, offering Catalyst a 19.99% stake in the company.

    Following the acquisition, Kaiser’s enterprise value will reach A$67m, encompassing three gold mines, including one under care and maintenance and two gold processing plants.

    “Kaiser will continue to re-invest into Henty and build on what Catalyst has already achieved. We are very pleased to have Catalyst’s continued involvement and exposure to the upside at Henty, both as Kaiser’s major shareholder and through their board representation.”

    Source – Yahoo! Finance

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    Global silver market under stress

    ByVictoria
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    A surge in rates to borrow the precious metal has become the latest sign of alarm, with anxiety building over the impact of further tariffs from US President Donald Trump. That’s sparked a dash to ship silver into the US in a bid to capture premium prices in New York, possibly causing a squeeze in London.

    “Should the long-fabled ‘silver squeeze’ materialize, this slower tradeflow will be a key contributor to prolonging” any potential disruption BMO Capital Markets analyst George Heppel said in a note. That’s because it would take time for silver stockpiles to flow from the US back to London, he said.

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    Central banks back at it, jewelry fell

    ByVictoria
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    Central banks worldwide are on track to buy 1,000 metric tons of gold in 2025, which would be their fourth year of massive purchases as they diversify reserves from dollar-denominated assets into bullion, consultancy Metals Focus said.

    The price rally has so far kept purchases by central banks, a crucial category of demand, unaffected with the first-quarter buying in line with the 2022-24 quarterly average, Metals Focus said in its annual report on Thursday.

    Jewelry demand for bullion has been hit hard by the price rally. Gold jewelry fabrication fell 9% to 2,011 tons in 2024 and is expected to deliver a 16% slump this year with India and China accounting for much of this decline.

    Source – Reuters

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    Platinum, palladium likely to lag gold and silver again – UBS

    ByVictoria
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    Prospects for platinum group metals in 2025 look similar to previous years, UBS says, adding that it expects platinum to outperform palladium , and both to lag gold and silver once again.

    The investment bank, meanwhile, has a forecast of a 25% return for silver, with prices trading in a $36-38/oz range.

    “Hence, we hold a more nuanced outlook for the overall precious metal sector, with a more attractive risk-reward in gold/silver versus platinum/palladium. Within the platinum group of metals, platinum remains favored over palladium, considering the higher volatility and lower liquidity of the latter,” analysts added.

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    Spot gold and futures down, Silver down

    ByVictoria
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    Gold fell to a near three-week low on Monday as a U.S.-European Union trade accord lifted the dollar and risk sentiment, while investors awaited fresh cues on rate policy from this week’s Federal Reserve meeting.

    Spot gold fell 0.6% to $3,316.03 per ounce as of 11:36 a.m. ET (1536 GMT), after touching its lowest level since July 9, earlier in the session. U.S. gold futures were down 0.7% at $3,313.2 per ounce.

    “I think the more trade announcements we get, the more the dollar increases. These tariff deals are dollar friendly, lowering the allure of gold and driving the sell-off amid a risk-on sentiment,” said Marex analyst Edward Meir.

    Spot silver was down 0.1% at $38.12 per ounce and platinum fell 0.6% to $1,393.25, while palladium gained 2.1% to $1,245.52.

    Source – Reuters

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    Weaker dollar helping gold today

    ByVictoria
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    Gold price rose more than 1% on Thursday, moving away from the one-month low it touched in the previous session, as a pullback in the dollar and fresh U.S. tariff announcements lifted demand for the safe-haven asset.

    Spot gold was up 0.9% at $3,305.15 per ounce, as of 1140 GMT. The bullion had hit its lowest level since June 30 at $3,267.79 on Wednesday

    “We had some large downward moves yesterday in gold around the FOMC statement release and the tariff announcement. So a moderately weaker U.S. dollar is helping gold today,” said UBS commodity analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

    Spot silver was down 1.6% at $36.53 per ounce, platinum fell 0.6% to $1,318.20 and palladium gained 0.9% to $1,215.94.

    Source – Reuters