Gold is on a tear, hitting a record high in New York on Monday at almost $3,150 an ounce to bring the rise this year to 19%.
Analysts at Bank of America think gold could hit $3,500 an ounce if demand increases by 10%.
“Uncertainty around Trump Administration trade policies could continue to push the dollar lower, further supporting gold prices near-term. In our view, a broad rebalancing of America’s twin deficits could be bullish gold too.”
Source – Markets Insider
“Investors around the world have started the year looking for protection against sticky and potentially rising inflation, fiscal debt worries and the unpredictability of Trump,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodities strategy at Saxo Bank.
“The market is sleepwalking into a squeeze right now,” Daniel Ghali, senior commodity strategist at TD Securities, said in an interview. “People are completely disregarding this risk.”
Source – Bloomberg / Yahoo Finance
Gold fell over 1% on Tuesday after hitting a near four-week high, pressured by a firmer dollar as investors grew cautious ahead of a potential call between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping.
Spot gold fell 1.1% to $3,340.79 an ounce as of 10:21 a.m. ET (1421 GMT), after hitting its highest since May 8, earlier in the session.
“We are moving into this period that is well known to be the summer doldrums, so there’s an expectation that the gold market could fall into a bit of a lull or a sideways consolidation,” said David Meger, director of metals trading at High Ridge Futures.
“I believe the Fed is ready to begin to cut rates again, but more than likely not until September…that is another factor likely to weigh on the dollar and support gold,” Meger added.
Spot silver fell 1.2% to $34.37 an ounce
Platinum lost 0.4% to $1,059.32, while palladium was up 1.4% at $1,003.10.
Source – Reuters
The South African rand strengthened on Tuesday, helped by the gold price extending its historic run to a new all-time peak.
At 0814 GMT, the rand traded at 18.0175 against the dollar , about 0.4% stronger than its previous close.
“At some point a gold price that continues to rise will excite local miners to make a greater effort to mine difficult-to-reach gold deposits. What may not have looked viable several years ago must be looking interesting now,” said ETM Analytics in a research note.
Source – Reuters
South African rand – is the official currency of South Africa. 1 South African Rand is $0.055 USD.
Silver prices surged to $33 per ounce on Friday, hitting their highest since late October at $33.41, fueled by factors driving gold to record highs.
London Bullion Market Association data revealed an 8.6% drop in silver inventories to 23,528 tons in January, the largest monthly decline since 2016.
Despite bullish trends, analysts caution against silver’s volatility, noting its price movements often exceed gold’s by 2-2.5 times.
Source – Econo Times
Copper prices drifted higher on Wednesday as investors waited for details of U.S. reciprocal tariffs, but tin extended a rally to its highest in nearly three years on supply fears.
Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) was up 0.2% at $9,711 a metric ton by 0953 GMT after slipping to its weakest in three weeks at $9,668.50.
“Investors are confused, they’re uncertain about the outlook. It’s mostly tariff-related, although there’s also global conflict, currency debasement and confusion around central bank policy,” said Tom Price, head of commodities strategy at Panmure Liberum.
“Aluminium gives you an insight into what copper might do. It has gone through the first phase of factoring in the cost of tariffs and now it’s going into the second phase, where demand is deteriorating,” Price said.
Source – Business Recorder
Bullion surged as much as 1.4% to $2,798.59 an ounce, surpassing its previous all-time high set in October. A weaker dollar makes bullion more appealing for investors holding other currencies as it’s priced in the US currency.
“When you get rising inflation and you get declining growth, you get stagflation, then gold is one of the best-performing commodities in that environment.”
Source – Bloomberg
