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Gold reaching $3,000/oz in near-term, says Citi

ByVictoria

“The gold bull market looks set to continue under Trump 2.0 with trade wars and geopolitical tensions reinforcing the reserve diversification/de-dollarization trend and supporting EM official sector gold demand, and with global growth concerns (tariff and cycle related) set to raise ETF and OTC investment demand,” Citi stated in a note.

“We expect gold to continue to rise as a hedge against growth and other risks, including actual and perceived rising growth risks, including trade wars, still-high interest rates weighing on growth, continued deterioration in the U.S. labor market, ex-U.S. currency devaluation risks, and potential U.S. equity drawdown risks,” the bank noted.

Source – Reuters

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    Standoff continues for Congo copper mines

    ByVictoria
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    The $1.4 billion bid made by the Chinese defence and industrial giant in June stalled after Congo state miner Gecamines submitted its own unsolicited bid for the Chemaf assets, deepening a standoff that has been complicated by U.S. officials lobbying against China’s grip on the mineral-rich central African Copperbelt.

    Norinco has now proposed that the Democratic Republic of the Congo increase its interest in Chemaf’s Mutoshi and Etoile mines to as much as 15% from 5% currently – at no additional cost – subject to negotiations, said the sources, who asked to remain anonymous.

    Source – Reuters

    More Info!

    Norinco – also known as China North Industries Corporation. Within China it is known as China Ordnance Industries Group Corporation Limited

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    Gold prices on the rise to record highs

    ByVictoria
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    At the time of writing, the XAU/SD trades at $2,755 after bouncing off daily lows of $2,741

    The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the performance of the Greenback against a basket of six peers and usually correlates inversely to Gold, rises 0.08%, up at 108.16.

    Gold prices are set to challenge record high of $2,790 amid ongoing US trade policies uncertainty. 

    Source – FXSTREET

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    Silver reached a new record high

    ByVictoria
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    New Delhi, Jul 14 (PTI) Silver prices skyrocketed Rs 5,000 to hit a fresh peak of Rs 1,15,000 per kg in the national capital on Monday as investors rushed to safe-haven assets following weakness in the US Dollar amid uncertainties over US tariff threats.

    “Silver prices are surging, reaching a new record high in the domestic market and hitting the highest level in almost 14 years in the international market. This rally is driven by a change in investor interest toward alternatives to gold,” Saumil Gandhi, Senior Analyst – Commodities at HDFC Securities, said.

    Source – Press Trust of India

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    3 Gold Stocks And 1 Silver Stock are hitting new highs

    ByVictoria
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    SPDR Gold Shares

    It’s been having a good run: from the early June 2024 low of $212 to the present $264 amounts to a 19.7% return from then to now.

    ASA Gold and Precious Metals

    The South African-founded miner is now domiciled in Bermuda and has a market cap of $477 million. The price-earnings ratio is 7.61 and the stock trades at 1.12 times its book value. ASA in November 2024 paid a .16% dividend.

    Franco Nevada

    Headquartered in Toronto, the company has a market cap of $27 billion. This year’s earnings are down by 13.15%. Franco Nevada has no debt, long-term or otherwise.

    Kinross Gold

    This Canadian miner has a market cap of $14.51 billion. Earnings this year are up by 71%. The price-earnings ratio is 19.74. The debt-to-equity ratio is .26. Kinross Gold pays a dividend of 1.02%.

    Discovery Silver

    This is an OTC stock (also trades on The Toronto Stock Exchange) with an average daily volume of 237,000 shares. Market cap is $433 million. According to the company website, Discovery has “high quality gold producing assets in Canada” and “the world’s largest undeveloped silver deposit in Mexico.”

    Source – Forbes

  • Copper prices edge up in thin trade after past week’s tumble

    ByVictoria
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    Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) rose 0.1% to $8,949.5 a metric ton in official open-outcry trading.

    Adding further pressure, the International Copper Study Group said on Friday that the global refined copper market was in a 287,000 metric ton surplus for the first 10 months of 2024.

    With a mean reversion strategy in play, copper is likely to strengthen back above the crucial $9,000 mark, Sucden Financial analysts said.

    Source – ZAWYA

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    Weak dollar, gold up nearly 1%

    ByVictoria
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    US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent offered support for Jerome Powell amid regular attacks from President Donald Trump, saying he sees no reason for the Federal Reserve chair to step down. Trump has maintained his criticism of the Fed chief and stressed his belief that the central bank’s benchmark rate should be 3 percentage points lower.  

    Political interference and a potential attempt to oust of Powell before his term ends is throwing the Fed’s independence into question. That’s negative for the dollar, and is helping boost haven demand for gold. 

    “The USD is losing its store of value function” and bullion is exceptionally well-placed to benefit, TD Securities senior commodity strategist Dan Ghali said in a note.  

    Spot gold was up nearly 1% to $3,430.05 an ounce at 2:16 p.m. in New York. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.4%. Silver and palladium advanced while platinum slipped.

    Source – Bloomberg