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Goldman Sachs forecasts up to 12 month copper prices

ByVictoria

Goldman Sachs on Wednesday maintained its London Metal Exchange copper price forecasts for the next year, and said it expected the implementation of U.S. tariffs on copper imports to prevent a U.S. stock glut in the third quarter.

Goldman forecasts three-, six-, and twelve-month LME copper prices at $9,600, $10,000 and $10,700 per metric ton respectively. The bank flagged a near-term downside risk to prices from a trade policy update due to take effect on April 2.

Source – Reuters

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    TD Securities’ Daniel Ghali says gold and silver won’t return to the UK

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    The massive outflows of gold and silver bullion from the UK into the U.S. will not likely return even after the tariff and trade situation is resolved, and while gold prices are poised to continue setting fresh all-time highs, the setup for silver is even stronger, according to TD Securities’ senior commodity strategist Daniel Ghali.

    “This isn’t the silver squeeze narrative that you’ve heard about, this is the silver squeeze that you can buy into,” Ghali added.

    Source – KITCO News

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    Copper futures up, copper market awaits investigation

    ByVictoria
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    Copper, yet to be included in Donald Trump’s widening list of tariff-hit products, continues to rally on the assumption that it is just a matter of time, Saxo Bank said in a note, as it sees a sooner-than-expected tightening of the global market.

    Copper futures (HG1:COM) are up 2.8% so far this week, and 6.3% for the month. 

    The copper market is still awaiting the result of an investigation carried out under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act.

    “As such an investigation normally takes months to be completed, it has left the door wide open for a massive profitable arbitrage between international prices and those in the U.S. being reflected through the High Grade futures contract in New York.”

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    Copper price forecast

    ByVictoria
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    The EV industry in China and the world is already booming; pumping copper’s status as “the new oil”. As such, the red metal is set to rise above the current uncertainties to record significant gains in the medium to long term.

    Copper has also jumped above the 50-day moving average, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has continued rising. Therefore, it will likely rebound and retest the key support at $5 in the coming weeks.

    Source – Invezz

    More Info!

    RSI (Relative Strength Index) – is a technical indicator intended to chart the current and historical strength or weakness of a stock or market based on the closing prices of a recent trading period.

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    Bank of England is busier than they’ve been in years

    ByVictoria
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    They have been working flat out to do what the Bank describes as “digging out” gold bars for delivery to traders who’ve seized on a rare arbitrage opportunity thrown up by speculation that Donald Trump will impose tariffs on the precious metal, alongside a raft of other imported goods. 

    The Bank’s vault keepers are busier than they’ve been in years, logistics companies are working overtime, and refineries are booked out for months with orders to recast gold bars from London into a form that can be delivered into the US futures market.

    “What’s happening in the London market is a short term logistical thing, but it’s having real consequences,” said John Reade, senior market strategist at the World Gold Council, the industry lobby group. “There’s not as much gold in London as normal, but again, there’s still lots there. And once it can get out from behind the Bank of England, then everything should calm down.”

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    Gold prices fall, trade deal soon

    ByVictoria
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    Gold prices fell on Thursday, reversing earlier gains, as U.S. President Donald Trump hinted at a potential trade deal with Britain, easing trade tensions and reducing the precious metal’s appeal as a safe-haven investment.

    Spot gold was down 0.7% to $3,342.22 an ounce, as of 1157 GMT. U.S. gold futures slipped 1.3% to $3,347.90.

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    Spot silver eased 0.2% to $32.40 an ounce, platinum gained 0.6% to $979.91 and palladium fell 0.2% to $970.91.

    Source – Reuters