Goldman Sachs raised its end-2025 gold price forecast to $3,700 per ounce from $3,300, with a projected range of $3,650-$3,950, citing stronger-than-expected demand from central banks and higher exchange-traded fund inflows due to recession risks.
“If a recession occurs, ETF inflows could accelerate further and lift gold prices to $3,880 per troy ounce (toz) by year-end,” the bank said
Source – Reuters
Copper prices have been on a stellar run, boosted by President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs. But Wall Street sees headwinds for the metal, with two miners catching downgrades.
Freeport stock lost 3.2%, closing at $44.12, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.4% and 1%, respectively.
Southern Copper shares fell 2.4% to $97.54.
As for demand, Citi analyst Tom Mulqueen noted in a Tuesday report that tariffs and policy changes will be a headwind in the second half of 2025.
“We also see sustained sluggish manufacturing activity and solar frontloading weighing on copper end-use consumption in the months ahead,” wrote Mulqueen.
Source – Barron’s
China will import even more off-exchange refined copper this year, according to analysts and traders, as output from the Congo booms and users look to alleviate shortages and head off a potential disruption to supplies of U.S. scrap.
“The supply of refined copper, including scrap, concentrate, anode and blister, is still tight. We therefore expect higher imports of plentiful refined copper, including EQ copper to partly compensate for this tightness in other raw materials,” Jonathan Barnes, principal analyst at metals research company Project Blue said.
Source – Reuters
An internal document seen by Reuters showed Codelco’s production reached 1.328 million tons in 2024, at the low end of its target range and just about 3,500 tons higher than the quarter-century low in 2023.
The worker, who asked not to be identified because they were not authorized to talk about internal operations, said Codelco has yet to fix bottlenecks in transporting minerals in the mine.
Cristian Cifuentes, an analyst at the Center for Copper Studies (CESCO), said that the Ministro Hales mine is still at reduced capacity and the ramp up of Chuquicamata Underground has been “slower than we all thought.”
Source – Reuters
Some finance experts in Simpsonville said they’ve seen a surge in people investing in gold. They said it follows fears over the economy slowing.
Co-owner of JEHM Wealth and Retirement Eric Lahaie told 7NEWS the value of gold has increased by more than 30 percent in the last six months. He emphasized that it is largely because of panic buying.
“The appreciation is all that you’re going to get out of it. It doesn’t produce a dividend. It doesn’t generate interest like a stock, or a bond will do. So, you don’t get that advantage. And then, as I said earlier, it kind of moves in big jumps, and then flattens out for a long time,” said Lahaie.
“If you buy it in a brokerage account, when you sell gold, your gains are taxed at your ordinary income up to 28 percent,” Lahaie also said. “Versus, if you sell stock, as long-term capital gain, you’re going to be taxed somewhere between 15 and 20 percent on the high end. So, that’s kind of a disadvantage for gold.”
Source – KOLR Springfield
“Gold fell sharply post-Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting as the Fed’s indication of a slower pace of interest rate cuts than previously estimated for the next year,” Saumil Gandhi, Senior Analyst of Commodities at HDFC Securities, said.
Silver quoted 2.47 per cent lower at USD 29.98 per ounce in the international markets.
“Investors are anticipating US weekly unemployment claims data to be released later on Thursday to assess the strength of the labour market, while focusing on the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data on Friday,” Abans Holdings’ Chief Executive Officer Chintan Mehta said.”
“We expect gold prices to rise further, but any delay in additional interest rate cuts could lead to short-term declines, creating opportunities for accumulation, Mehta said.”
Source – Press Trust of India
Spot gold fell 0.6% to $2,934.99 an ounce as of 09:55 a.m. (1455 GMT), after reaching $2,956.15 on Monday.
U.S. gold futures declined 0.5% to $2,948.60.
Trump said on Monday that tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports were “on time and on schedule”
“I still think that there’s enough uncertainty out there associated with tariffs (and) trade more generally… dips are going to continue to be viewed as buying opportunities,” said Peter Grant, vice president and senior metals strategist at Zaner Metals.
Spot silver shed 1.2% to $31.96 an ounce, platinum dropped 0.8% to $959.35 and palladium lost 0.8% to $932.50.
Source – Reuters
