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Investment banks raise gold forecasts

ByVictoria

UBS and Commerzbank raised their gold price forecasts on Friday, joining other investment banks as investors drive the safe-haven metal to record highs amid the economic uncertainty sparked by U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade policies.

Trump’s tariffs have roiled financial markets, stoking fears of inflation and a global recession. While he has paused most duties, he has hiked those on China to 145%, prompting Beijing to lift its tariffs on U.S. goods to 125%.

“We expect gold’s rally to extend into next year and for prices to stabilise at higher levels further out,” UBS analysts said in a note

Source – Reuters

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    Gold and Silver up around the world

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    Gold prices in India skyrocketed by Rs 6,250 on Friday to reach a historic high of Rs 96,450 per 10 grams in the national capital, fuelled by robust demand from local jewellers and soaring global prices driven by heightened US-China trade tensions, according to the All India Sarafa Association.

    Gold of 99.9% purity also saw a significant jump, closing at Rs 96,450 compared to Wednesday’s Rs 90,200.

    Silver too followed suit, leaping Rs 2,300 to settle at Rs 95,500 per kg from its earlier close of Rs 93,200, mirroring the bullish global momentum.

    Comex gold futures climbed to a record USD 3,249.16 per ounce, signalling strong safe-haven demand.

    “Comex gold prices hit lifetime highs due to surging safe-haven demand, triggered by fears of a deepening global economic slowdown and further retaliation between the US and China,” said Kaynat Chainwala, AVP-Commodity Research at Kotak Securities.

    Source – The Times of India

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    Gold rose but weaker than expected: December report

    ByVictoria
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    Spot gold rose 0.5% to $2,663.79 per ounce, as of 9:55 a.m. ET (1455 GMT) and hit its highest since Dec. 13. U.S. gold futures gained 0.5% to $2,679.70.

    Weaker private payrolls “is contributing to gold’s move, because ultimately, weaker employment numbers imply that the economy has been weaker than many had expected,” said Bart Melek, head of commodity strategies at TD Securities.

    “The bigger factor will be U.S. nonfarm payrolls on Friday, the market is expecting a change of 163 (thousand); anything significantly above that will be negative for gold,” Melek said.

    Source – Reuters

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    Gold and Silver gained

    ByVictoria
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    Gold prices gained over 1% on Monday as the dollar and U.S. bond yields weakened amid uncertainty over trade talks ahead of a U.S. deadline of August 1 for countries to strike deals or face more tariffs.

    Spot gold was up 1.2% at $3,390.79 per ounce at 9:52 ET (1352 GMT). U.S. gold futures were up 1.3% to $3,402.40.

    Spot silver gained 1.8% to $38.86 per ounce, platinum rose 2.2% to $1,453.17 and palladium was 3.5% higher at $1,284.46.

    Source – Reuters

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    Gold and Silver : Experts predict 10% – 25% rally

    ByVictoria
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    “Given the current scenario, central banks are likely to continue diversifying their reserves with gold for financial and strategic reasons,” ICICI Securities stated in its report.

    Pankaj Pandey, Head of Research at ICICI Securities, noted, “We anticipate fresh investment demand for gold in 2025 as investors seek a store of value amidst trade war anxieties.”

    Silver is poised to outperform gold in 2025, supported by strong industrial demand from green energy applications, including photovoltaics and electric vehicle (EV) electrification, said ICICI.

    Source – Live Mint

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    Copper futures up, copper market awaits investigation

    ByVictoria
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    Copper, yet to be included in Donald Trump’s widening list of tariff-hit products, continues to rally on the assumption that it is just a matter of time, Saxo Bank said in a note, as it sees a sooner-than-expected tightening of the global market.

    Copper futures (HG1:COM) are up 2.8% so far this week, and 6.3% for the month. 

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    “As such an investigation normally takes months to be completed, it has left the door wide open for a massive profitable arbitrage between international prices and those in the U.S. being reflected through the High Grade futures contract in New York.”

    Source – Seeking Alpha