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Investment banks raise gold forecasts

UBS and Commerzbank raised their gold price forecasts on Friday, joining other investment banks as investors drive the safe-haven metal to record highs amid the economic uncertainty sparked by U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade policies.

Trump’s tariffs have roiled financial markets, stoking fears of inflation and a global recession. While he has paused most duties, he has hiked those on China to 145%, prompting Beijing to lift its tariffs on U.S. goods to 125%.

“We expect gold’s rally to extend into next year and for prices to stabilise at higher levels further out,” UBS analysts said in a note

Source – Reuters

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    Freeport – McMoRan Inc is developing new technology

    After 154 years of digging at Morenci, all the easily recoverable copper has been mined. Left behind are towering piles of waste rock that hold nearly 10 million tons of the metal seen as critical to global electrification. It’s a cache that could prove key to President Donald Trump’s ambition to boost US production of critical minerals.

    Freeport-McMoRan Inc., which owns Morenci, is trying to develop technology that can burrow within those gigantic waste piles and extract low-grade copper that miners previously saw as too expensive and difficult to process.

    “For a long time, we just didn’t think it was possible to recover any of this stuff,” said Robert Pollock, Morenci’s site manager, gazing up at a waste pile the size of a Manhattan office building. “But now, all this historical copper – we’re going after it.”

    Source – Bloomberg

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    Mitsubishi Materials considering partial shutdown

    Japan’s Mitsubishi Materials is considering scaling back copper concentrate processing at its Onahama Smelter & Refinery as falling treatment and processing charges (TC/RCs) weigh on earnings, it said on Monday.

    Mitsubishi Materials said the worsening TC/RCs from miners were expected to further erode smelting margins.

    “To maintain and improve profitability, we need to raise the ratio of recycled raw materials and accelerate the shift to feedstock less vulnerable to TC/RC fluctuations,” the company said in a statement.

    It is now considering the possibility of a partial shutdown of production facilities and a reduction in copper concentrate processing at Onahama, after planned maintenance from October to November this year, Mitsubishi Materials said.

    Source – Reuters

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    Arizona Sonoran Copper makes big announcement valued at C$19.9m ($13.83m) with Hudbay Minerals

    Under this agreement, Hudbay will subscribe for 11,852,064 common shares of Arizona Sonoran at C$1.68 per share.

    Arizona Sonoran president and CEO George Ogilvie said: “We are pleased and appreciative to welcome this further endorsement of our project and the go-forward plan by the team at Hudbay. It is the company’s objective to develop Cactus to be a significant producer of copper cathodes for direct use by industry in the state of Arizona and the larger US supply chain.

    “We welcome Hudbay, a mid-tier base metal producer with decades of base metal successes in the Americas and a strong existing footprint in Arizona, as a larger and increasingly engaged shareholder, able to lend its experience and expertise as we advance and develop Cactus.”

    Source – Global Data

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    Gold’s price gains jewellery demand

    A 12% y/y drop in Q4 gold jewellery consumption to 547t- took the annual total down to 1,877t, down 11%, as unrelenting gold price strength impacted consumers’ ability to buy, the World Gold Council (WGC) said in a report on Wednesday.

    For 2025, the WGC said central banks and “ETF investors likely to drive demand with economic uncertainty supporting gold’s role as a risk hedge, but on the flipside, keeping pressure on jewellery.”

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    Gold and Silver up around the world

    Gold prices in India skyrocketed by Rs 6,250 on Friday to reach a historic high of Rs 96,450 per 10 grams in the national capital, fuelled by robust demand from local jewellers and soaring global prices driven by heightened US-China trade tensions, according to the All India Sarafa Association.

    Gold of 99.9% purity also saw a significant jump, closing at Rs 96,450 compared to Wednesday’s Rs 90,200.

    Silver too followed suit, leaping Rs 2,300 to settle at Rs 95,500 per kg from its earlier close of Rs 93,200, mirroring the bullish global momentum.

    Comex gold futures climbed to a record USD 3,249.16 per ounce, signalling strong safe-haven demand.

    “Comex gold prices hit lifetime highs due to surging safe-haven demand, triggered by fears of a deepening global economic slowdown and further retaliation between the US and China,” said Kaynat Chainwala, AVP-Commodity Research at Kotak Securities.

    Source – The Times of India

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    Gold Fields Limited reports 42% jump

    Gold Fields (NYSE:GFI) +4.2% pre-market Thursday after reporting a 42% jump in FY 2024 profit and saying it met revised full-year guidance after a stronger H2 performance.

    Gold Fields (GFI) raised its dividend by 34% to a company record 10 rand/share ($0.54) per share, prompting CEO Mike Fraser to say the company may consider a share buyback program as a way to boost shareholder returns if the gold price remains elevated.

    Source – Seeking Alpha