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JP Morgan expects copper prices at $11,000 in 2026

JP Morgan expects the global deficit in refined copper to grow to 160,000 metric tons in 2026 and continues to forecast copper prices averaging around $11,000 per metric ton next year, the bank said in a note dated Friday.

“Likely excess inventory builds in the U.S. in the coming months ahead of a tariff on copper sets up the potential to leave the rest of the world shorter of copper … setting the stage for our forecast bullish push higher over 2H25 towards $10,400/mt,” JP Morgan noted.

Source – Reuters

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    Bank of England moving gold to US to avoid tariffs

    Gold inventories in New York are on a path to levels last seen at the outset of the COVID-19 pandemic, with stockpiles in the city hitting $82 billion.

    “People can’t get their hands on gold because so much has been shipped to New York, and the rest is stuck in the queue,” an unnamed industry executive told the FT. “Liquidity in the London market has been diminished.”

    “London remains the major gold market in the world. If you are involved in that market and want to trade or use your gold, you really need to have it in London,” BoE governor Andrew Bailey told the U.K.’s Treasury Committee. 

    Source – Fortune

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    Over the Weekend!

    Bitcoin Lags Behind Gold

    Bitcoin has gained just over 3% year-to-date, trailing gold’s 9% jump, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The precious metal reached a record high of $2,882 an ounce after President Trump on Feb. 4 said the US could take over Gaza — a comment his aides sought to tone down. Bitcoin is currently about 10% below its peak.

    Source – Bloomberg

    Mali gold production  plunges 23%

    Mali’s industrial gold production plunged 23% to 51 metric tons last year from 66.5 tons in 2023, the West African country’s mines ministry said.

    With an estimated 6 tons produced in artisanal mines, Mali’s total gold production in 2024 is expected to reach 58.7 tons, the mines ministry said.

    Source – Reuters

    Michael Oliver says Gold’s Making All-Time Highs, SILVER To Follow

    “I think that once you punch a hole in the stock market… you’re going to have a lot of that money moving,” he predicted, suggesting that a 5-10% drop could trigger a significant shift in investor sentiment, driving capital towards safer havens like gold and silver.

    Silver didn’t move with commodities in moved with gold,” he asserted, countering arguments that silver has lost its monetary significance.

    Source – The Jerusalem Post / Opinion

  • Arizona “Copper State”, growing demand for ore raises fears to locals

    First, I had no idea that Arizona has a couple of nicknames one of them being “Copper State”. Pretty interesting fact.

    I wanted to share this article because there are mining companies here in the United States that are not talked about enough or just don’t get attention. Being interested in precious metals myself, I’d like to know what’s going on with this particular interest and certain information whether it pertains to me or not, but I felt this was interesting because the locals of this area in Arizona are having to deal with certain changes.

    I would like to include more of these types of articles in the future if anyone is interested but all things precious metals deserve to be know, I feel.

    News!

    One of North America’s largest known undeveloped copper deposits, with visions of multiple open pits and a tailings dump stretching down from the mountains toward the narrow Sycamore Canyon’s far rim.

    “You come here for some peace and quiet,” Corona de Tucson resident Kevin Kennedy said, “and a mine is anything but.” reported Brandon Loomis

    The neighbors and regional environmental groups all make the case that the Sky Islands in general and the Santa Ritas in particular are no place for a massive new mine with multiple open pits. The mountains are home to rare birds and occasionally rarer mammals, like the jaguar, and are considered one of the nation’s most biologically diverse mixing zones of tropical, desert and Rocky Mountain species.

    “There are places that are so precious that they shouldn’t be mined,” said Rob Peters, who directs the local advocacy group Save the Scenic Santa Ritas.

    Source – Arizona Republic

    Would you like to see more?

    I will soon do an article on copper and it’s investing benefits, pros and cons in the near future but please let me know if this is something you would like to see or if you like the news style.

    It’s been quite fun posting updates on the precious metals world, and I’d like to know your point of view, likes or dislikes. I would like to hear from you!

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    Chinese users turn to off-exchange to ease supply tightness

    China will import even more off-exchange refined copper this year, according to analysts and traders, as output from the Congo booms and users look to alleviate shortages and head off a potential disruption to supplies of U.S. scrap.

    “The supply of refined copper, including scrap, concentrate, anode and blister, is still tight. We therefore expect higher imports of plentiful refined copper, including EQ copper to partly compensate for this tightness in other raw materials,” Jonathan Barnes, principal analyst at metals research company Project Blue said.

    Source – Reuters

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    BHP and Canada’s Lundin Mining extend mining time

    Vicuña Corp, a joint venture of Australia’s BHP and Canada’s Lundin Mining (LUN.TO), opens new tab, on Thursday said it was extending the useful life of its Josemaria copper, gold and silver project in Argentina by six years.

    It attributed the longer useful life of the mine, now 25 years instead of 19 years previously, to higher levels of exploitable resources.

    Vicuña also predicted an ore processing rate at the site, located in Argentina’s north-western San Juan province, near the Chilean border, at 175,000 metric tons per day.

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    TD Securities’ Daniel Ghali says gold and silver won’t return to the UK

    The massive outflows of gold and silver bullion from the UK into the U.S. will not likely return even after the tariff and trade situation is resolved, and while gold prices are poised to continue setting fresh all-time highs, the setup for silver is even stronger, according to TD Securities’ senior commodity strategist Daniel Ghali.

    “This isn’t the silver squeeze narrative that you’ve heard about, this is the silver squeeze that you can buy into,” Ghali added.

    Source – KITCO News