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Silver could still outperform gold in second half of 2025

“The white metal may get squeezed, as recovering Asian demand absorbs recent inventory builds in the aftermath of the Chinese slowdown and the base metal concentrate processing capacity increases,”

“We project the metal to average $36/oz in the final months of next year, making it a commodity outperformer as the XAU/XAG ratio challenges yearly lows.”

“With its low correlation to traditional assets such as equities and bonds, silver offers powerful diversification benefits,” Silver Institute said. “Historically, silver has proven its value during times of economic and geopolitical crises, serving as a reliable hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and systemic financial instability. In the context of the modern global landscape, this role has become even more pronounced.”

Source – KITCO NEWS / written by Ernest Hoffman

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    The silver market was rather quiet during the early hours on Wednesday as we continue to see a lot of choppiness.

    I think this is a scenario where you have to be somewhat hesitant to buy silver, and I think really what we are looking at is a situation where we are just simply consolidating overall. I believe that the $28.75 level is significant support, just as the $31 level is significant resistance.

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    Sales of gold coins and minted bars rose to 25,103 ounces in February, up 35% from January. On a year-on-year basis, they were down 47%.

    Silver product sales increased to 482,451 ounces in February.

    “It is heartening to see the increase in sales on January levels given precious metals prices remain at record highs,” said Neil Vance, Perth Mint’s general manager of minted products.

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  • Worldwide currencies up and down

    The safe-haven Japanese yen strengthened on Monday while gold pushed to a fresh peak as traders worried that U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs would ignite inflation and crimp economic growth.

    The yen was up as much as 0.74% at 148.735 per U.S. dollar at one point on Monday, and was last 0.46% stronger at 149.145. 

    The Swiss franc, another traditional safe haven, started the day by rising 0.3% to 0.8775 per dollar.

    The Canadian dollar was flat at C$1.4321 per greenback.

    Mexico’s peso slipped 0.45% to 20.4364 per dollar.

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    Toronto Stock Exchange energy losses offset mining

    The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index (.GSPTSE)
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     held steady at 24,793.53 points, mirroring the sentiment on Wall Street.

    However, high silver and gold prices helped limit losses for Canadian stocks.

    “A lot of gains were experienced yesterday and today you are probably going to see muted markets,” Allan Small, senior investment adviser at Allan Small Financial Group with iA Private Wealth, said on Thursday.

    The Bank of Canada is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.00% when it meets later this month, according to a Reuters poll of economists.

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    A-Mark Precious Metals stocks highlighted by Night Watch Investment Management

    On January 7, 2025, A-Mark Precious Metals, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMRK) stock closed at $27.50 per share with a market capitalization of $637.563 million.

    “As a long-biased fund, we prefer to own various countercyclical companies to lower the risk of our portfolio. At the beginning of the year, we identified a pawn store operator and a wholesaler / retailer of precious metals called A-Mark Precious Metals, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMRK) as interesting long-term opportunities that simultaneously provided a hedging function to our portfolio. We have exited our position in AMRK during the year. We believed that economic uncertainty and higher precious metals prices would spark renewed consumer demand for physical gold and silver coins. This demand did not materialize and we therefore saw no immediate catalyst in AMRK.” stated Night Watch Investment Management in its Q4 2024 investor letter

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    Gold set for eighth weekly gain

    Spot gold shed 0.4% to $2,927.95 an ounce by 1204 GMT. Bullion has gained around 1.6% this week after rising to a record $2,954.69 on Thursday.

    “The non-stop rally since December remains unchallenged unless prices drop to around $2,850,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank.

    “Gold has been displaying resilience with short-lived retracements, as lingering U.S. trade uncertainties reinforce its appeal as a hedge,” IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong said.

    Spot silver was flat at $32.92 an ounce, and palladium dipped 0.3% to $974.75. Both metals were headed for weekly gains.

    Platinum shed 0.2% to $976.80 and eyed a weekly decline.

    Source – Reuters