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Silver prices rise, how high will it go?

“Silver is showing signs of relatively higher momentum with the price trying to breach the crucial US$ 33 level,” Emkay said

Given silver’s diverse industrial applications, its price is projected to rise from its current level, reaching $36.60, $38.70, and $39.30 on COMEX, it said.

“Investing in silver funds with a 12 to 18 months’ time horizon is likely to be a worthy proposition.”

The gold-silver ratio is currently around 90, which suggests that silver is currently undervalued.

Source – invezz

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    Citi’s gold expectations

    Citi expects the price of gold to consolidate around $3,100 to $3,500 per ounce in the third quarter, as prices moderate due to geopolitical de-escalation in the Middle East and an improved global growth outlook, the bank said in a note on Monday.

    “We expect continued price consolidation … and highlight our view that we may have already seen the highs at $3,500/oz in late April as the gold market deficit is peaking soon if not already,” Citi said in the note.

    Source – Reuters

  • Understanding Silver Spot Prices: Guide for New Investors

    In the volatile world of precious metals, silver prices can swing by 5% or more in a single trading session. It’s enough to make any investor’s heart race! I’ve been tracking precious metals markets over the recent past, and I’ll tell you, there’s nothing quite like the excitement (and occasional anxiety) of watching those prices move.

    Back when I first started investing in silver, I made the classic rookie mistake of buying without understanding spot prices. To be honest I still make mistakes. Let’s just say I learned my lesson the expensive way! But don’t worry – I’m here to share everything I’ve learned about silver spot prices so you can avoid the pitfalls I encountered.

    In this comprehensive guide, we’ll dive into everything you need to know about silver spot prices. Whether you’re just starting your precious metals journey or looking to refine your investment strategy, you’ll find practical, actionable insights that you can use right away.

    What Is the Silver Spot Price?

    The silver spot price is essentially the current market price for immediate delivery of silver. Think of it as the wholesale price of silver before any dealer premiums or manufacturing costs are added. It’s the foundation of all silver trading and investing, measured per troy ounce (which, fun fact, is actually heavier than a regular ounce!). For those who may not know, a troy ounce is a unit of measure used for weighing precious metals that dates back up to the Middle Ages. It’s a weight to measure precious metals weight!

    When we talk about spot prices, we’re really looking at the base price of .999 fine silver in the professional trading market. This price gets updated literally every few seconds during trading hours! It’s fascinating to watch – sometimes I’ll keep a price tracker open on my screen just to see the movements throughout the day.

    One thing that took me years to fully grasp is that spot prices aren’t just random numbers – they’re the result of countless trades happening in real time on various exchanges around the world. The main ones are the COMEX in New York and the London Bullion Market, but there are others too.

    Here’s what makes spot prices so important: they’re your baseline for determining if you’re getting a fair deal. Any price you pay above spot is called the “premium,” and understanding this relationship is crucial for smart investing.

    Factors That Influence Silver Spot Prices

    The silver market is incredibly dynamic, and prices respond to a wide range of factors. Let me break down the main ones I’ve observed:

    Industrial Demand: This is huge! Unlike gold, silver has massive industrial applications. When industrial demand rises, prices typically follow. For example, manufacturing facilities where they use silver in everything from electronics to solar panels.

    Economic Conditions: Here’s something interesting I’ve noticed – silver often acts as both an industrial metal and a safe-haven asset. During economic uncertainty, some investors flock to silver as a store of value. But economic slowdowns can also reduce industrial demand. It’s this dual nature that makes silver prices so fascinating to watch.

    Currency Markets: The U.S. dollar and silver prices typically have an inverse relationship. I learned when the dollar weakens, silver usually becomes more expensive in dollar terms, and vice versa.

    Supply Factors: Mining output, recycling rates, and above-ground stockpiles all play crucial roles.

    How to Track Silver Spot Prices

    First things first – you need reliable data sources. While there are dozens of websites showing silver prices, not all are created equal. I personally use a combination of Kitco.com for quick checks and TradingView for more detailed analysis. The key is finding sources that update frequently and provide accurate, real-time data.

    I’ve found that price charts are invaluable tools for understanding market trends. Start with daily charts to get a feel for short-term movements, but don’t ignore weekly and monthly views – they often reveal longer-term patterns that aren’t visible in daily data.

    Here’s a pro tip I wish someone had told me when I first started: set up price alerts! Most tracking apps let you create custom notifications when silver hits specific price levels. This saves you from constantly checking prices and helps you act on your strategy rather than emotions. This is so helpful and easy to navigate truly an “that was easy” button.

    Common Silver Spot Price Terms

    You know what really confused me when I started? All the jargon! Let me demystify some key terms that took me way too long to figure out.

    Bid vs. Ask Spread: This is the difference between what buyers are willing to pay (bid) and what sellers are asking (ask). I always check this spread when dealing with dealers – a wider spread usually means higher transaction costs.

    Premium Over Spot: This is what you pay above the spot price. Here’s something many new investors don’t realize – premiums can vary dramatically between different forms of silver. For instance, American Silver Eagles command much higher premiums than generic silver rounds, even though they contain the same amount of silver.

    Paper vs. Physical Silver: This distinction is crucial! Paper silver (like ETFs or futures) trades at spot price, while physical silver usually includes a premium. I learned about this difference when I found you can’t convert ETF holdings into physical silver – quite an eye-opener!

    Using Spot Prices for Smart Investing

    After making many mistakes, I’ve developed some solid strategies for using spot prices to make better investment decisions. And really doing some research.

    Dollar-Cost Averaging: Instead of trying to time the market perfectly, I’ve found success by making regular purchases regardless of price. This approach helps smooth out the price volatility over time.

    Premium Analysis: Always compare premiums between dealers and products. Try to keep a spreadsheet tracking premiums for different silver products – it’s amazing how much they can vary! Sometimes waiting a week or two can save you significant money on premiums alone.

    Market Timing Considerations: While I don’t recommend trying to perfectly time the market, which is just rule of thumb because it’s tough and understanding price patterns can help you avoid buying at relative peaks.

    Common Mistakes to Avoid

    Let me share some hard-learned lessons about what NOT to do when dealing with silver spot prices.

    Emotional Trading: This is probably the biggest mistake I see (and have made myself). When prices start moving dramatically, it’s tempting to make impulse decisions. The rule should be: no buying or selling without checking my pre-written investment criteria.

    Ignoring Premiums: Some investors focus solely on spot prices while ignoring the total cost including premiums. I once bought some “limited edition” silver rounds with crazy high premiums – they looked pretty, but they were terrible investments.

    Market Timing Obsession: I used to spend hours trying to predict the perfect entry point. Trust me, it’s usually better to focus on your long-term strategy than trying to catch the absolute bottom.

    Remember, spot prices are just one part of the silver investment equation. They’re important, but they need to be considered alongside other factors like premiums, storage costs, and your overall investment goals.

    Conclusion

    Understanding silver spot prices might seem daunting at first, but it’s an essential skill for any precious metals investor. Through my mistakes – I’ve learned that success comes from combining knowledge of spot prices with a disciplined investment strategy.

    Remember: spot prices are your foundation, but they’re not the whole story. Always consider the total cost of your investment, including premiums and fees. And perhaps most importantly, don’t let short-term price movements distract you from your long-term investment goals.

    I encourage you to start small, learn from each transaction, and gradually build your understanding of the silver market. Keep track of your observations about price movements and their causes – you’ll be surprised how quickly you develop an intuition for the market.

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    Silver in demand and up

    On April 16, spot silver traded between $32.28 and $33.11. The white metal closed with a strong gain of 1.57 per cent at $32.90 as gold surged and the US Dollar Index and yields slumped.

    Per Silver Institute, silver industrial demand rose 4 percent in 2024 to 680.5 million ounces (Moz), reaching a new record high for the fourth consecutive year. 

    Source – Business Standard

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    WGC gold EFT inflows at an all-time peak

    Bullion-backed exchange traded funds (ETFs) reported returning net inflows last month, meaning half-year flows reached levels not seen for five years, data from the World Gold Council (WGC) showed.

    Total holdings rose by 75 tonnes last month, the WGC said, to 3,616 tonnes. This was the highest for 34 months.

    Inflows were valued at $7.6 billion, which in turn drove cumulative assets under management (AUMs) to $382.8 billion an all-time peak.

    The WGC said that “North America accounted for the bulk of inflows, recording the strongest first half in five years.” It added that “despite slowing momentum in May and June, Asian investors bought a record amount of gold ETFs during the first half, contributing an impressive 28% to net global flows with only 9% of the world’s total AUMs.”

    Source – Forbes

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    India admits miscalculations on gold for months

    The Ministry of Commerce and Industry said in a statement Thursday it revised import figures from April to November after discovering the discrepancy, which had resulted from migrating to a new data transmission system.

    The miscalculation led to a four-fold increase in gold imports to a record $14.8 billion in November, causing the trade deficit to widen to $37.8 billion.

    Preliminary revisions show gold imports were $37.39 billion in the April-November period, down $11.7 billion from previously reported.

    Source – Bloomberg / Live Mint

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    Gold dips, Silver up .1%

    Gold prices dipped for a second straight session on Monday as U.S.-China trade tensions eased, and the market awaited data due this week.

    Spot gold was down 0.6% at $3,297.10 an ounce as of 09:27 a.m. ET (1327 GMT). U.S. gold futures rose 0.3% to $3,307.80.

    “The broader gold forecast and price direction remains constructive, even with some of its haven appeal diminishing,” said Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at City Index and FOREX.com.

    “Until we witness clear patterns of lower highs, lower lows, and firm trade agreements rather than more political bluster from the Trump administration, the prospect of fresh highs for gold cannot be dismissed.”

    Spot silver eased 0.1% to $33.04, platinum gained 1.8% to $988.90 and palladium added 0.8% to $956.35.

    Source – Reuters