Putting tariffs on the world’s largest silver producer, Mexico, and a bullish seasonal window has woken the silver bulls.
Silver is showing strong signs of bullish momentum, supported by seasonal demand, a favorable technical picture, and a fundamental catalyst in the form of tariffs on Mexico and Canada.
Source – Barchart / Written by Don Dawson
Analysts estimate that copper demand from energy transition sectors will grow at a CAGR of 10.7%, with the EV sector alone driving a 14.3% increase, solar power 5.6%, and wind applications 9.3%. Overall, the demand for copper is projected to grow at a CAGR of 2.6% through 2034.
Source – Stock News
“We could envision a situation where inflation migrates higher, while the economy slows down as the auto sector grinds to a sudden halt, for example,” said Bart Melek, global head of commodity strategy at TD Securities. “Higher inflation and low rates, and the associated angst with the president’s imposition of tariffs, so uncertainty and risk are helping gold.”
“These tariffs create a strong tailwind for gold,” Bank of Montreal analysts wrote in a note. “Not only because of their inherent inflationary effects but also as the USA’s increasingly hawkish foreign policy may accelerate de-dollarisation plans.”
Source – Bloomberg
Spot gold fell 0.9% to $2,776.05 per ounce by 0303 GMT after prices hit a record peak at $2,817.23 on Friday. US gold futures were 0.9% lower at $2,810.80.
“Gold has support at $2774-2760 while resistance is at $2817-2832. Silver has support at $31.15-30.95 and resistance is at $31.65-31.80. In rupee terms, gold has support at Rs 81,980-81,710, while resistance is at Rs 82,070-82,350. Silver has support at Rs 92,710-92,050 while resistance is at Rs 93,980-94,570,” said Rahul Kalantri, VP Commodities, Mehta Equities.
Source – The Economic Times
Kiyosaki said, “Trump tariffs begin: gold, silver, Bitcoin may crash.” He indicated his plan to purchase more Bitcoin if prices plummet, seeing it as an opportunity to grow his wealth. However, he also pointed out the U.S. national debt as a major problem that Bitcoin might not be able to address.
Source – Benzinga
Fluor president of mining & metals Harish Jammula said: “We are excited to support BHP on their growth plans to increase production of refined copper cathode in south Australia.
“Accelerated expansion of the downstream processing sector is increasingly important to secure local supply of mined materials, become independent of overseas supply and drive sustainable production technologies.”
Source – Global Data
Supply is expected to grow by 3 percent, but it won’t be nearly enough to feed growing demand. This will lead to a 149 million-ounce market deficit. While the gap between supply and demand will shrink by about 19 percent from last year’s level, it will remain “sizeable historically.”
Source – Money Metals / Written by Mike Maharrey
Gold inventories in New York are on a path to levels last seen at the outset of the COVID-19 pandemic, with stockpiles in the city hitting $82 billion.
“People can’t get their hands on gold because so much has been shipped to New York, and the rest is stuck in the queue,” an unnamed industry executive told the FT. “Liquidity in the London market has been diminished.”
“London remains the major gold market in the world. If you are involved in that market and want to trade or use your gold, you really need to have it in London,” BoE governor Andrew Bailey told the U.K.’s Treasury Committee.
Source – Fortune
“There is incredible demand for physical gold in New York markets,” said Peter Spina, president and founder of gold news and information provider GoldSeek.com., referring to it as a “physical gold rush.”
“Those who are caught short physical metal are looking around and seeing a window closing here,” he said. They’re “desperately seeking physical metal before the price could jump overnight.”
“Meeting a surge in demand will always stretch capacity, but London vaults have been working overtime to service this London-New York flow,”
Source – Market Watch
Spot gold steadied at $2,795.52 per ounce by 11:18 GMT, after hitting a record peak of $2,800.99 earlier in the session. Prices rose more than 6% for the month and 1% for the week.
“The rally could hold for as long as there is uncertainty in the market. A lot of today’s uncertainty stems from not knowing whether and how tariffs will be applied,” said WisdomTree commodities strategist Nitesh Shah.
“We see central bank buying as the strongest structural force in the gold market, underpinning our long-term constructive view,” said Carsten Menke, analyst at Julius Baer.
Source – Reuters
Bullion surged as much as 1.4% to $2,798.59 an ounce, surpassing its previous all-time high set in October. A weaker dollar makes bullion more appealing for investors holding other currencies as it’s priced in the US currency.
“When you get rising inflation and you get declining growth, you get stagflation, then gold is one of the best-performing commodities in that environment.”
Source – Bloomberg