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The Fed’s hawkish signal sparked gold jitters

The U.S. Federal Reserve jolted markets with an unexpectedly hawkish set of projections for the path of interest rates next year, setting gold prices up for a blow — but analysts told CNBC they still see solid support for the precious metal in 2025.

The Fed’s “dot plot,” a gauge of policymakers’ outlook, now suggests the Fed will cut interest rates twice in 2025, compared with four quarter-point cuts previously expected in September, when concerns about the weakening labor market were front-of-mind. The big concern for the central bank is now whether the policies of incoming President-elect Donald Trump — particularly his threat of sweeping trade tariffs — will prove inflationary.

Source – CNBC

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    WGC gold EFT inflows at an all-time peak

    Bullion-backed exchange traded funds (ETFs) reported returning net inflows last month, meaning half-year flows reached levels not seen for five years, data from the World Gold Council (WGC) showed.

    Total holdings rose by 75 tonnes last month, the WGC said, to 3,616 tonnes. This was the highest for 34 months.

    Inflows were valued at $7.6 billion, which in turn drove cumulative assets under management (AUMs) to $382.8 billion an all-time peak.

    The WGC said that “North America accounted for the bulk of inflows, recording the strongest first half in five years.” It added that “despite slowing momentum in May and June, Asian investors bought a record amount of gold ETFs during the first half, contributing an impressive 28% to net global flows with only 9% of the world’s total AUMs.”

    Source – Forbes

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    Gold gained .4%, market “choppy”

    Spot gold gained 0.4% to $3,312.05 an ounce by 08:56 a.m. EDT (1255 GMT), after hitting a session low of $3,285.19 on Tuesday.

    U.S. gold futures rose 0.3% to $3,310.60.

    “The gold market has been kind of choppy recently, just reacting to fresh daily fundamental news events with no real trending price action. In the near term, market top is in place,” Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco Metals, said.

    Goldman Sachs recommended on Wednesday a higher-than-usual allocation to gold in long-term portfolios, citing elevated risks to U.S. institutional credibility, pressure on the Fed, and sustained central bank demand.

    Spot silver fell 0.3% to $33.20 an ounce, platinum firmed 0.8% to $1,088.65 and palladium eased 0.6% at $972.36.

    Source – Reuters

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    United States Mint updates gold pricing on gold coin

    The United States Mint establishes pricing on numismatic gold coins via its pricing grid, and updates were published July 1 in the Federal Register.

    The LBMA closing spot price of gold per troy ounce June 30 was $3,287.45. If the average spot price were to remain at that level until the week of sales opening, the pricing grid predicts that the Mint would set the opening sale price at $2,150 for the Sacagawea 25th Anniversary half-ounce gold dollar and at $2,650 for the Superman half-ounce gold $50 coin.

    Source – Coin World

    LBMA –  London Bullion Market Association is a whole sale market for trading precious metals. Gold, silver, platinum, and palladium.

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    Gold Fields Limited reports 42% jump

    Gold Fields (NYSE:GFI) +4.2% pre-market Thursday after reporting a 42% jump in FY 2024 profit and saying it met revised full-year guidance after a stronger H2 performance.

    Gold Fields (GFI) raised its dividend by 34% to a company record 10 rand/share ($0.54) per share, prompting CEO Mike Fraser to say the company may consider a share buyback program as a way to boost shareholder returns if the gold price remains elevated.

    Source – Seeking Alpha

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    Standoff continues for Congo copper mines

    The $1.4 billion bid made by the Chinese defence and industrial giant in June stalled after Congo state miner Gecamines submitted its own unsolicited bid for the Chemaf assets, deepening a standoff that has been complicated by U.S. officials lobbying against China’s grip on the mineral-rich central African Copperbelt.

    Norinco has now proposed that the Democratic Republic of the Congo increase its interest in Chemaf’s Mutoshi and Etoile mines to as much as 15% from 5% currently – at no additional cost – subject to negotiations, said the sources, who asked to remain anonymous.

    Source – Reuters

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    Norinco – also known as China North Industries Corporation. Within China it is known as China Ordnance Industries Group Corporation Limited