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JP Morgan expects copper prices at $11,000 in 2026

ByVictoria

JP Morgan expects the global deficit in refined copper to grow to 160,000 metric tons in 2026 and continues to forecast copper prices averaging around $11,000 per metric ton next year, the bank said in a note dated Friday.

“Likely excess inventory builds in the U.S. in the coming months ahead of a tariff on copper sets up the potential to leave the rest of the world shorter of copper … setting the stage for our forecast bullish push higher over 2H25 towards $10,400/mt,” JP Morgan noted.

Source – Reuters

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    Global silver market under stress

    ByVictoria
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    A surge in rates to borrow the precious metal has become the latest sign of alarm, with anxiety building over the impact of further tariffs from US President Donald Trump. That’s sparked a dash to ship silver into the US in a bid to capture premium prices in New York, possibly causing a squeeze in London.

    “Should the long-fabled ‘silver squeeze’ materialize, this slower tradeflow will be a key contributor to prolonging” any potential disruption BMO Capital Markets analyst George Heppel said in a note. That’s because it would take time for silver stockpiles to flow from the US back to London, he said.

    Source – Mining Weekly

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    Barrick Gold temporarily suspended from mining in Mali

    ByVictoria
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    News is from 1/14/2025
    This is a follow up on Barrick Gold and it’s current mining situation.

    Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE:GOLD)(TSX:ABX) today confirmed that the company remains restricted from shipping gold from the Loulo-Gounkoto mining complex in Mali. Additionally, the interim attachment order on the gold has now been executed by the Malian government by moving the existing gold stock from the site to a custodial bank, further preventing the shipment and sale of the gold.

    As a result, Barrick has regrettably initiated the temporary suspension of operations while it continues to work towards a resolution.

    Barrick remains committed to constructive engagement with the Malian government and all stakeholders to find an amicable solution that ensures the long-term sustainability of the Loulo-Gounkoto mining complex and its vital contribution to Mali’s economy and communities.

    Source – Barrick

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    Gold dips and U.S. Treasury yields rise

    ByVictoria
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    Spot gold fell 0.1% to $2,916.75 an ounce as of 11:55 a.m. ET (1655 GMT), after rising in the last three sessions. U.S. gold futures were flat at $2,925.

    “We are just seeing some mild profit-taking pressure from recent gains, the underlying fundamentals are still bullish… Another thing that’s putting some mild pressure on the gold market is a rise in bond yields,” said Jim Wyckoff, senior market analyst at Kitco Metals.

    The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hit a more than one-week high, reducing the appeal of non-yielding gold.

    Spot silver dipped 0.2% to $32.70 an ounce, palladium was steady at $942.25 and platinum was down 0.3% at $966.63.

    Source – Reuters

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    Gold hasn’t moved much, down .01%

    ByVictoria
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    Spot gold was down 0.1% at $2,913.79 an ounce as of 10:04 a.m. EST (1504 GMT). U.S. gold futures rose 0.1% to $2,923.70.

    “There’s still buying interest out there now … there’s going to be some measure of caution ahead of Friday’s (payrolls data), but the underlying trend remains favorable,” said Peter Grant, vice president and senior metals strategist at Zaner Metals. 

    “If the number comes out really bad, I would imagine gold sells off. If it comes out neutral, I don’t think that’s going to move the needle too much. But if it comes out bullish, then gold takes off and we get pretty quick to $3,000, if not higher than that,” said Daniel Pavilonis, senior market strategist at RJO Futures.

    Spot silver advanced 1.2% to $32.36 an ounce and palladium fell 0.4% to $938.22. Platinum gained 0.5% to $965.45.

    Source – Reuters

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    Investment banks raise gold forecasts

    ByVictoria
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    UBS and Commerzbank raised their gold price forecasts on Friday, joining other investment banks as investors drive the safe-haven metal to record highs amid the economic uncertainty sparked by U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade policies.

    Trump’s tariffs have roiled financial markets, stoking fears of inflation and a global recession. While he has paused most duties, he has hiked those on China to 145%, prompting Beijing to lift its tariffs on U.S. goods to 125%.

    “We expect gold’s rally to extend into next year and for prices to stabilise at higher levels further out,” UBS analysts said in a note

    Source – Reuters