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Investment banks raise gold forecasts

UBS and Commerzbank raised their gold price forecasts on Friday, joining other investment banks as investors drive the safe-haven metal to record highs amid the economic uncertainty sparked by U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade policies.

Trump’s tariffs have roiled financial markets, stoking fears of inflation and a global recession. While he has paused most duties, he has hiked those on China to 145%, prompting Beijing to lift its tariffs on U.S. goods to 125%.

“We expect gold’s rally to extend into next year and for prices to stabilise at higher levels further out,” UBS analysts said in a note

Source – Reuters

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    The ultra-wealthy are increasingly moving their gold offshore as economic and geopolitical uncertainty roils markets — and Singapore is emerging as a favored destination.

    Not far from the city-state’s airport sits a six-story facility covered in onyx and fortified by tight security. Tucked behind its steel doors are gold and silver bars amounting to about $1.5 billion.

    “A lot of very high net worth clients are looking at tariffs, looking at the world changing, looking at the potential of geopolitical instabilities,” Gregersen told CNBC. 

    “The idea of putting physical metal in a safe jurisdiction like Singapore with parties they can trust is becoming a big trend nowadays,” he said, adding that 90% of the new orders are coming from outside of Singapore.

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    Gold prices still going strong

    We believe the demand is across the board. We see institutions either adding to or establishing long term strategic asset allocation type positions. We see individual investors doing the same. We see a certain amount of FOMO. There’s a fear of missing out whenever the price gains momentum to the upside” George Milling-Stanley, Chief Gold Strategist at State Street Global Advisors, told FOX Business.

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    Gold and gold futures up, Silver down 0.7%

    Gold prices rose on Friday as investors turned to the safe-haven asset after United States President Donald Trump imposed fresh tariffs on a broad range of countries, while the market’s focus shifted to the U.S. non-farm payrolls report.

    Spot gold was up 0.3% at $3,299.54 per ounce, as of 1119 GMT. However, bullion is down 1.4% so far this week.

    U.S. gold futures rose 0.1% to $3,351.40.

    “The incoming US jobs report may also trigger another big move for gold. Another demonstration of resilience by the U.S. jobs market could send gold southbound towards $3,200,” Han Tan, chief market analyst at Nemo.Money.

    Spot silver fell 0.7% to $36.49 per ounce, platinum lost 1.6% at $1,269.27 and palladium was down 1.7% at $1,170.35.

    Source – Reuters

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    South African rand strengthens

    South Africa’s rand, stocks and government bonds strengthened on Friday, boosted by higher gold prices as worries over the United States’ worsening fiscal health sent investors into the safe-haven asset.

    At 0929 GMT, the rand traded at 17.9150 against the dollar, 0.5% stronger than Thursday’s closing level.

    Gold prices rose on Friday and were poised for their biggest weekly gain in more than a month, as a softer U.S. dollar and concerns over the country’s fiscal outlook boosted bullion’s safe-haven appeal.

    Source – Reuters

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    Gold down, tariff could extend, Silver fell

    Gold eased on Wednesday as risk appetite improved after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a trade deal with Japan ahead of an impending tariff deadline, though a soft dollar and lower Treasury yields capped losses for greenback-priced bullion.

    Spot gold was down 0.2% at $3,423.44 per ounce, as of 0136 GMT, after hitting its highest point since June 16 earlier in the session. U.S. gold futures also slipped 0.2% to $3,437.70.

    Trump said the U.S. and Japan had struck a trade deal that includes a 15% tariff that will be levied on U.S. imports from the country.

    “If further trade deals are signed ahead of August 1, this could further boost general risk appetite and reduce the demand for gold,” CM Trade Chief Market Analyst Tim Waterer said.

    “But if the USD remains pressured this will keep a return to $3,500 a viable near-term prospect for the precious metal.”

    Spot silver fell 0.3% to $39.15 per ounce, platinum dropped 0.3% to $1,437.83 and palladium slipped 0.8% to $1,264.96.

    Source – Reuters

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    Spot gold climbed 1.6% to $4,590.51 per ounce by 10:19 a.m. EDT (1419 GMT), earlier touching $4,604.18 — its highest since May 15. U.S. gold futures rose 1.7% to $4,647.00.

    “A big factor, of course, is technical… next step is $4,700 if this momentum continues, but also I think it’s been very much driven by a drop in the U.S. dollar,” said Bart Melek, global head of commodity strategy at TD Securities.

    “Gold call option demand has risen sharply amid renewed demand for global macro-policy hedges, creating a mechanical price amplifier to both the upside and downside,” Goldman Sachs said in a note.

    Spot silver gained nearly 2% to $69.43 per ounce, platinum climbed 3.8% to $1,897.36, while palladium rose 0.6% to $1,342.30. All metals are set for a weekly gain.

    Source – Reuters