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Gold markets hit historic heights amid economic policy uncertainty

The most recent trading sessions have showcased gold’s resilience and volatility. Following a sharp decline of $45 per troy ounce in spot gold and a $63 drop in April futures on Friday, February 14, the market demonstrated strong recovery momentum. After the Presidents’ Day holiday closure, Tuesday’s trading saw spot gold gain $36.97, and the April futures contract gaining $60.70, nearly reaching the record levels established on February 12.

Source – KITCO News / Opinion

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    Silver forecast at $32.55

    Silver began the week with modest gains, stabilizing above its 50-day moving average at $32.55—a level now serving as short-term support. The metal also finds backing from a key Fibonacci retracement at $32.19.

    Source – FX Empire

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    Copper tariffs begin on August 1st, Chile “singled out”

    The U.S. is expected to implement a 50% tariff on copper imports at the end of the week, but what happens next is anyone’s guess as talk of an exemption for Chile, the biggest U.S. supplier of the metal, and a potential U.S. and European “metal alliance” heats up.

    “There remains uncertainty over country-based exemptions and a general sense of tariff fatigue,” wrote Natalie Scott-Gray, senior metals demand analyst at StoneX, in a note Tuesday. The European Union, meanwhile, looks to get a break when it comes to U.S. tariffs on steel, aluminum and copper.

    President Donald Trump’s announcement on July 8 of the coming tariff had led to a 13% spike in copper prices that day, to settle at $5.6855 a pound, a record-high finish at that time, based on data going back to 1968, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

    Scott-Gray said that when it comes to a potential country-based tariff exemption, Chile is “singled out,” not just because of Marcel’s comments and ongoing negotiations this week, but because the U.S. is reliant on Chile’s imports and the fact that the U.S. holds a trade surplus with Chile, she said.

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    Trump to make sure Fort Knox gold is there

    “We’re going to go into Fort Knox to make sure the gold is there… do you know about that?” Trump said to a reporter aboard Air Force One, according to a video posted to X by Musk.

    “We hope everything is fine with Fort Knox, but we’re going to go into Fort Knox, the fabled Fort Knox, to make sure the gold is there.”

    “If the gold isn’t there, we’re going to be very upset,” Trump said.

    Then-Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Sen. Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., visited the vaults in 2017. They reported that, despite various conspiracy theories, the gold was present.

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    Silver prices climbing

    The metal is showing strong upside potential, with the next target range between $34.87 and $35.40. However, traders should remain cautious as silver is currently well above key support levels at $32.53 and the 50-day moving average at $31.75​.

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    Job data shows gold impact

    Gold lost its shine after upbeat US jobs data. It hits an intraday low of $3311 and is currently trading around $3323.

    The June 2025 U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report demonstrated notable strength in the labor market, with 147,000 jobs added, substantially surpassing the consensus estimate of 110,000.

    According to the CME Fed Watch tool, the chances of a rate pause in the Jul 30th 2025, meeting have increased to 93.30% from 79.30% a week ago.

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