“I’m basing this whole forecast on the fact that the Fed is going to be wrong,” Hemke stated, emphasizing his belief that the current economic strength is overstated.
Craig Hemke is a precious metals analyst.
Source – The Jerusalem Post
Copper can sustain current levels around $9 400 a ton until early April, after which the implementation of US tariffs could see prices drop to $8 500 within three months, Citigroup analysts including Tom Mulqueen said in a research note.
Copper fell 0.4% to $9,438.50 a ton on the LME as of 10:14 a.m. in Shanghai, while other base metals were mixed.
Source – Mining Weekly
NASA scientists estimate that there are almost 20 million tons of gold dissolved in the water of the seas and oceans.
Estimates suggest that nearly 20 million tons of gold are dissolved in seawater. However, the concentration of this metal is extremely dilute across a vast volume of water, making its extraction highly complex.
Source – AS USA
Miner Freeport-McMoRan (FCX.N), beat Wall Street estimates for second-quarter profit on Wednesday, as higher copper and gold prices helped offset lower production.
The company’s shares rose 1.6% to $40.54 in pre-market trade.
Freeport could be a big beneficiary, seeing as much as $1.6-billion boost to annual profit, given its position as the largest U.S. producer with more expansion options than rivals.
Freeport, which supplies about 70% of U.S. refined copper, said it expects to sell 1.3 billion pounds from its domestic mines in 2025.
Source – Reuters
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) rose 0.1% to $8,949.5 a metric ton in official open-outcry trading.
Adding further pressure, the International Copper Study Group said on Friday that the global refined copper market was in a 287,000 metric ton surplus for the first 10 months of 2024.
With a mean reversion strategy in play, copper is likely to strengthen back above the crucial $9,000 mark, Sucden Financial analysts said.
Source – ZAWYA
Spot gold fell 0.2% to $2,634.52 per ounce by 2:27 a.m. ET (1927 GMT). U.S. gold futures settled 0.3% lower at $2,647.40.
“Bond yields are back up again, placing pressure on gold,” said Nitesh Shah, commodity strategist at WisdomTree.
“There’s speculation that Trump is going to pull back on tariffs … If (the prices of) commodities go up, inflation’s going to remain higher for longer,” Phillip Streible, chief market strategist at Blue Line Futures, said.
Source – Reuters
While no official tariff has been imposed, the price gap between the CME and London Metal Exchange (LME) contracts has widened sharply, with CME copper trading at a premium exceeding $1,000 per metric ton. This suggests the market is pricing in at least a 10% tariff, though a 25% duty, similar to those on aluminum and steel, remains a possibility.
Source – Econo Times