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HSBC on gold prices

HSBC raised its 2025 average gold price forecast to $3,215 an ounce from $3,015 and its 2026 forecast to $3,125 from $2,915, citing elevated risks and government debt.

“We anticipate a wide and volatile trading range of $3,600-3,100/oz for the rest of the year and year-end prices of $3,175/oz for 2025 and $3,025/oz for 2026,” the bank said in a note on Tuesday.

Source – Reuters

HSBC – is a British universal bank and financial services group headquartered in London, England.

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    “While traditionally inflation and real yields have been the main drivers of gold prices, recently central bank buying has emerged as the primary catalyst behind the current gold price increase,” according to a recent research note by Bank of America’s Global Commodity Research’s Franciso Blanch and Irina Shaorshadze.

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    Source – Fox Business

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    At 0814 GMT, the rand traded at 18.0175 against the dollar , about 0.4% stronger than its previous close.

    “At some point a gold price that continues to rise will excite local miners to make a greater effort to mine difficult-to-reach gold deposits. What may not have looked viable several years ago must be looking interesting now,” said ETM Analytics in a research note.

    Source – Reuters

    South African rand – is the official currency of South Africa. 1 South African Rand is $0.055 USD.

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    Barrick Gold temporarily suspended from mining in Mali

    News is from 1/14/2025
    This is a follow up on Barrick Gold and it’s current mining situation.

    Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE:GOLD)(TSX:ABX) today confirmed that the company remains restricted from shipping gold from the Loulo-Gounkoto mining complex in Mali. Additionally, the interim attachment order on the gold has now been executed by the Malian government by moving the existing gold stock from the site to a custodial bank, further preventing the shipment and sale of the gold.

    As a result, Barrick has regrettably initiated the temporary suspension of operations while it continues to work towards a resolution.

    Barrick remains committed to constructive engagement with the Malian government and all stakeholders to find an amicable solution that ensures the long-term sustainability of the Loulo-Gounkoto mining complex and its vital contribution to Mali’s economy and communities.

    Source – Barrick

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    Chinese users turn to off-exchange to ease supply tightness

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    “The supply of refined copper, including scrap, concentrate, anode and blister, is still tight. We therefore expect higher imports of plentiful refined copper, including EQ copper to partly compensate for this tightness in other raw materials,” Jonathan Barnes, principal analyst at metals research company Project Blue said.

    Source – Reuters