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“Liberation Day” tariffs!

Stocks recoiled on Wednesday, while safe-haven gold held near record highs as a nervous world awaited details of U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff plans and investors fretted about the risks of an intensifying global trade war.

“Whatever’s announced today, I doubt very much will be the framework that’s in place in, say, nine months’ time because we know there’ll be negotiations around this,” Daiwa Capital economist Chris Scicluna said.

“It’s very difficult to predict with any confidence what the ultimate impact is going to be, whether broadly, economically, in terms of rates or in terms of stock markets,” he said.

“Investors are hoping for some clarity, and perhaps the start of the deal-making phase. But tariffs are already weighing on business sentiment, and this will probably feed through into lower global economic activity in the coming months,” said Ben Bennett, Asia-Pacific investment strategist at Legal & General Investment Management.

Source – Reuters

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    “Base metals, including copper, are likely to have peaked in 2025 as they will be negatively impacted by the trade dynamics between the U.S. and China,” Cochilco said in a statement.

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    Gold to remain stong, silver expected to rise

    Gold prices firmed on Wednesday as investors stayed cautious amid lingering uncertainty over the U.S.-China trade truce and waited for key U.S. inflation data for clues on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate trajectory.

    Spot gold XAU= was up 0.3% to $3,330.69 an ounce at 1122 GMT. U.S. gold futures GCcv1 were up 0.3% to $3,351.60.

    “Gold should remain supported as long as global trade tensions risk escalating further, or even just staying elevated for longer.”

    “We expect silver to reach $38/oz in the coming months. Market deficit considerations and a weaker USD hold the key for even higher prices – a test of $40/oz is possible,” UBS said.

    Source – Reuters