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Job data shows gold impact

Gold lost its shine after upbeat US jobs data. It hits an intraday low of $3311 and is currently trading around $3323.

The June 2025 U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report demonstrated notable strength in the labor market, with 147,000 jobs added, substantially surpassing the consensus estimate of 110,000.

According to the CME Fed Watch tool, the chances of a rate pause in the Jul 30th 2025, meeting have increased to 93.30% from 79.30% a week ago.

Source – Econo Times

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    New Delhi, Jul 14 (PTI) Silver prices skyrocketed Rs 5,000 to hit a fresh peak of Rs 1,15,000 per kg in the national capital on Monday as investors rushed to safe-haven assets following weakness in the US Dollar amid uncertainties over US tariff threats.

    “Silver prices are surging, reaching a new record high in the domestic market and hitting the highest level in almost 14 years in the international market. This rally is driven by a change in investor interest toward alternatives to gold,” Saumil Gandhi, Senior Analyst – Commodities at HDFC Securities, said.

    Source – Press Trust of India

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    Gold price predictions

    Gold prices are expected to continue being volatile in the near future on the back of uncertainties regarding US President Donald Trump’s tariff policies, the approaching July 9 deadline, possible trade deals, and the fresh threat of additional 10% tariffs on BRICS countries that align with ‘anti-American policies’.

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    Gold hasn’t moved much, down .01%

    Spot gold was down 0.1% at $2,913.79 an ounce as of 10:04 a.m. EST (1504 GMT). U.S. gold futures rose 0.1% to $2,923.70.

    “There’s still buying interest out there now … there’s going to be some measure of caution ahead of Friday’s (payrolls data), but the underlying trend remains favorable,” said Peter Grant, vice president and senior metals strategist at Zaner Metals. 

    “If the number comes out really bad, I would imagine gold sells off. If it comes out neutral, I don’t think that’s going to move the needle too much. But if it comes out bullish, then gold takes off and we get pretty quick to $3,000, if not higher than that,” said Daniel Pavilonis, senior market strategist at RJO Futures.

    Spot silver advanced 1.2% to $32.36 an ounce and palladium fell 0.4% to $938.22. Platinum gained 0.5% to $965.45.

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    Gold is “uniquely positioned”

    Spot prices hit another record high of $3,357.40 per troy ounce on Wednesday before falling back after Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell said President Donald Trump’s tariffs were “significantly larger” than expected.

    The Goldman analysts said that stresses in bond markets “increase our conviction that gold is uniquely positioned to hedge recession risk.”

    The bank’s economists say there’s a 45% chance of a US recession in the next 12 months. If that happens, the analysts said gold could hit $3,880 by the end of the year — or even as much as $4,500 under certain scenarios.

    Source – Markets Insider