US Treasury yields down

Investors are expecting a packed week of economic data starting with the Chicago Fed National Activity Index for January out on Monday at 8:30 a.m. ET. This will be followed by the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index at 10:30 a.m.

The most anticipated data for the week will be the personal consumption expenditure index, which will be delivered on Friday at 8:30 a.m. ET. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge heavily influences the Fed’s rate-cutting decisions.

Source – CNBC

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    Gold to remain stong, silver expected to rise

    Gold prices firmed on Wednesday as investors stayed cautious amid lingering uncertainty over the U.S.-China trade truce and waited for key U.S. inflation data for clues on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate trajectory.

    Spot gold XAU= was up 0.3% to $3,330.69 an ounce at 1122 GMT. U.S. gold futures GCcv1 were up 0.3% to $3,351.60.

    “Gold should remain supported as long as global trade tensions risk escalating further, or even just staying elevated for longer.”

    “We expect silver to reach $38/oz in the coming months. Market deficit considerations and a weaker USD hold the key for even higher prices – a test of $40/oz is possible,” UBS said.

    Source – Reuters

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    Copper hit with new tariff tax

    President Donald Trump said he will put a 50% tariff on copper imports effective Aug. 1.

    “I am announcing a 50% tariff on copper, effective Aug. 1, 2025, after receiving a robust national security assessment,” Trump posted to his Truth Social account Wednesday evening.

    Copper prices rose 2.62% after Trump’s comments, then extended its gains before leaping 13.12% upwards and hitting its best one-day gain since 1989.

    Source – UPI News

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    Bank of England moving gold to US to avoid tariffs

    Gold inventories in New York are on a path to levels last seen at the outset of the COVID-19 pandemic, with stockpiles in the city hitting $82 billion.

    “People can’t get their hands on gold because so much has been shipped to New York, and the rest is stuck in the queue,” an unnamed industry executive told the FT. “Liquidity in the London market has been diminished.”

    “London remains the major gold market in the world. If you are involved in that market and want to trade or use your gold, you really need to have it in London,” BoE governor Andrew Bailey told the U.K.’s Treasury Committee. 

    Source – Fortune

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    Presidential dollars and First Spouse gold coins legislation extension

    A flurry of legislative activity in both chambers of Congress in February includes more than a half dozen bills, one of which seeks an extension of production of Presidential dollars and First Spouse gold coins.

    S. 633, introduced Feb. 19 by Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto, D-Nevada, seeks to extend the Presidential dollar and First Spouse gold coin series to include deceased presidents and their spouses not yet honored.

    Jimmy Carter Presidential dollars would be authorized to be struck with a circulation finish in bags and rolls offered for sale from the Denver and Philadelphia Mints, and Uncirculated finish versions from both production facilities and Proof coins from the San Francisco Mint.

    For the First Spouse gold coins, Proof and Uncirculated versions would be produced as numismatic products at the West Point Mint bearing the facility’s W Mint mark.

    Source – Coin World

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    Idaho gold mine wins federal approval despite objection

    A contested mine in Central Idaho that will produce gold and antimony earned the U.S. Forest Service’s final approval following a lengthy environmental review and objections from the Nez Perce Tribe, which will lose access for decades to federal lands guaranteed by a U.S. treaty.

    “This approval elevates the Stibnite Gold Project to an elite class of projects in America that have cleared NEPA,” Jon Cherry, Pepetua’s president and CEO, said in a statement.

    “The tribe’s treaties with the United States are the supreme law of the land and remain binding,”

    Source – Idaho Statesman

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    Copper tariff in effect August 1

    U.S. President Donald Trump sprang a double surprise on the copper market when he announced import tariffs of 50% effective next month.

    The August 1 start date signals the end of the race to ship physical metal to the United States to capture the tariff arbitrage.

    A lucky few with cargoes already afloat may yet cross the finishing line in time, but the physical tariff trade is rapidly unwinding.

    The LME benchmark spread is now in a comfortable contango of $66 per ton, compared with a backwardation of more than $300 per ton at the end of June.

    Source – Reuters